Sam Farmer’s NFL picks for Week 14

Oakland at Jacksonville

Records: 6-6; 7-5.

When: Sunday, 10 a.m.

TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 704.

Line: Jaguars by 4. O/U: 43.

If the Raiders can play the run as well as they did against San Diego, they’re golden. That’s a tall order against the Jaguars and Maurice Jones-Drew. Jaguars 20, Raiders 17

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Cleveland at Buffalo

Records: 5-7; 2-10.

When: Sunday, 10 a.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 705.

Line: Bills by 1. O/U: 39.

Buffalo has done a good job of hanging around in games. Cleveland should be able to control clock with Peyton Hillis and avoid a big Jake Delhomme mistake. Browns 17, Bills 10

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Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Records: 2-10; 9-3.

When: Sunday, 10 a.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 706.

Line: Steelers by 8.5. O/U: 39.5.

The Steelers are banged up after a brutal (but fruitful) game at Baltimore. That shouldn’t trouble them against the downward-spiraling Bengals. Steelers 24, Bengals 14

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Atlanta at Carolina

Records: 10-2; 1-11.

When: Sunday, 10 a.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 707.

Line: Falcons by 7. O/U: 42.

The biggest peril for Matt Ryan and the Falcons in this divisional mismatch is taking their eye off the ball. That’s not going to happen. Falcons 28, Panthers 16

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Tampa Bay at Washington

Records: 7-5; 5-7.

When: Sunday, 10 a.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 708.

Line: Buccaneers by 2. O/U: 41.

Redskins can still be tough from time to time, and they’re getting Ryan Torain back. LeGarrette Blount and the Buccaneers are just hungrier. Buccaneers 23, Redskins 20

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Green Bay at Detroit

Records: 8-4; 2-10.

When: Sunday, 10 a.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 709

Line: Packers by 6. O/U: 46.

The Lions have lost 10 in a row to the Packers and 19 straight to NFC North opponents. Drew Stanton is not the quarterback to end that streak. Packers 30, Lions 17

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N.Y. Giants at Minnesota

Records: 8-4; 5-7.

When: Sunday, 10 a.m.

TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 710.

Line: Giants by 2. O/U: 43.

Eli Manning is 0-4 against the Vikings, including losses in the past two seasons. That said, has Brett Favre packed it in? Giants 27, Vikings 24

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Seattle at San Francisco

Records: 6-6; 4-8.

When: Sunday, 1 p.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 711.

Line: 49ers by 5. O/U: 42.

It’s back to Alex Smith for the 49ers, who have been doing the quarterback tango all season. Seattle has a hard time doing anything consistently well. 49ers 24, Seahawks 21

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St. Louis at New Orleans

Records: 6-6; 9-3.

When: Sunday, 1 p.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 712.

Line: Saints by 9. O/U: 47.

As well as Sam Bradford has played, the Rams have won only two on the road. The Saints are 5-1 at home and Drew Brees is back to his 2009 form. Saints 31, Rams 21

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New England at Chicago

Records: 10-2; 9-3.

When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 713.

Line: Patriots by 3. O/U: 41.

The Bears are blocking better and giving Jay Cutler more time. That might be enough to pull off an upset against a team due for a letdown. Bears 24, Patriots 23

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Denver at Arizona

Records: 3-9; 3-9.

When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 714.

Line: Broncos by 5. O/U: 42.

Interim coaches are undefeated in their first games this season, and Denver’s Eric Studesville could not have asked for a more appealing opponent. Broncos 30, Cardinals 17

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Miami at N.Y. Jets

Records: 6-6; 9-3.

When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.

TV: none. DirecTV: 715.

Line: Jets by 5. O/U: 40.

The Jets won in Miami earlier this season and now have the advantage of: a) being at home, and b) having a playoff spot within their grasp. That’s enough. Jets 28, Dolphins 17

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Kansas City at San Diego

Records: 8-4; 6-6.

When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.

TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 716.

Line: Off board. O/U: Off.

Brodie Croyle is 0-9 as a starting quarterback for the Chiefs, and it doesn’t figure to get much better against the desperate Chargers. Chargers 28, Chiefs 20

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Philadelphia at Dallas

Records: 8-4; 4-8.

When: Sunday, 5:15 p.m.

TV: Channel 4

Line: Eagles by 3. O/U: 50.

The Cowboys are playing inspired football and could hold serve at home, but the Eagles are a superior team and that will be the decisive factor. Eagles 31, Cowboys 27

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Baltimore at Houston

Records: 8-4; 5-7.

When: Monday, 5:30 p.m.

TV: ESPN.

Line: Ravens by 3. O/U: 45.

The Texans are falling apart and will have an especially difficult time slowing Joe Flacco and his capable Ravens receivers. Ravens 24, Texans 20